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Match prediction · League One

Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Abbey Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Cambridge United Home +1.5

For this to come in, Cambridge United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cambridge United

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Wycombe Wanderers Cambridge United Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Barnsley Cambridge United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Blackpool Either team to win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Oxford United Oxford United or draw ✓

Plymouth Argyle

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✕ 0–1
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✕ 0–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–3 at Stevenage Plymouth Argyle Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–2 v Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v AFC Wimbledon Plymouth Argyle win ✓
  4. W 2–0 at Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Home +1.5 ✕
  5. L 0–1 v Burton Albion Plymouth Argyle win ✕

Last meetings

Cambridge United wins 1 Draws 3 Plymouth Argyle wins 1
  1. 22 Apr 2023 Plymouth Argyle 3–1 Cambridge United
  2. 10 Dec 2022 Cambridge United 0–0 Plymouth Argyle
  3. 22 Feb 2022 Cambridge United 2–0 Plymouth Argyle
  4. 17 Aug 2021 Plymouth Argyle 1–1 Cambridge United
  5. 22 Feb 2020 Plymouth Argyle 0–0 Cambridge United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.