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Match prediction · League One

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Pirelli Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Burton Albion Home +1.5

For this to come in, Burton Albion must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burton Albion

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–0
  2. ✕ 1–3
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Bradford City Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Peterborough United Either team to win ✕
  3. L 0–1 at Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 v Huddersfield Town Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✕

Leyton Orient

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Reading Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Blackpool Blackpool Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 0–0 at Bradford City Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 v Plymouth Argyle Leyton Orient Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 v Stevenage Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Burton Albion wins 2 Draws 2 Leyton Orient wins 1
  1. 2 May 2026 Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Burton Albion 0–4 Leyton Orient
  3. 1 Apr 2025 Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient
  4. 14 Dec 2024 Leyton Orient 0–0 Burton Albion
  5. 17 Feb 2024 Leyton Orient 1–2 Burton Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.