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Match prediction · League One

Burton Albion vs Bradford City

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Pirelli Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Burton Albion Home +1.5

For this to come in, Burton Albion must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 85%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burton Albion

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✕ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–3
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Peterborough United Either team to win ✕
  2. L 0–1 at Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 v Huddersfield Town Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✕
  4. W 1–0 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✕
  5. D 2–2 v Mansfield Town Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✓

Bradford City

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Stevenage Bradford City or draw ✓
  2. D 0–0 v Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Reading Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Luton Town Luton Town or draw ✕
  5. W 1–0 at Notts County Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Burton Albion wins 2 Draws 1 Bradford City wins 2
  1. 21 Mar 2026 Burton Albion 2–1 Bradford City
  2. 8 Nov 2025 Bradford City 1–2 Burton Albion
  3. 26 Jan 2019 Burton Albion 1–1 Bradford City
  4. 21 Aug 2018 Bradford City 1–0 Burton Albion
  5. 8 Mar 2016 Bradford City 2–0 Burton Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.