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Match prediction · League One

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion

Sat 17 Oct · 12:30 UK time

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Peterborough United or Burton Albion must win.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Peterborough United

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 0–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  2. L 0–1 at Stockport County Stockport County win ✓
  3. L 0–2 v Doncaster Rovers Either team to win ✓
  4. D 1–1 at MK Dons Peterborough United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✓

Burton Albion

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–3
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✕ 1–0
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Doncaster Rovers Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–3 v Huddersfield Town Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✕
  3. W 1–0 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✕
  4. D 2–2 v Mansfield Town Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–3 at Oxford United Oxford United win ✓

Last meetings

Peterborough United wins 2 Draws 2 Burton Albion wins 1
  1. 19 Apr 2026 Peterborough United 1–1 Burton Albion
  2. 18 Oct 2025 Burton Albion 0–1 Peterborough United
  3. 1 Jan 2025 Burton Albion 2–2 Peterborough United
  4. 4 Dec 2024 Peterborough United 0–1 Burton Albion
  5. 9 Mar 2024 Burton Albion 1–3 Peterborough United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.