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Match prediction · Premier League

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest

Fri 23 Oct · 20:00 UK time · Portman Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Ipswich Town Home +1.5

For this to come in, Ipswich Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Ipswich Town

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✕ 3–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–3 at Manchester City Manchester City win ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Fulham Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–1 at Everton Everton win ✓
  4. W 3–2 at Crystal Palace Crystal Palace win ✕
  5. L 0–2 v Liverpool Liverpool win ✓

Nottingham Forest

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✕ 0–1
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  2. L 1–3 at Crystal Palace Nottingham Forest Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–1 v Coventry City Nottingham Forest win ✕
  4. W 2–1 at Aston Villa Either team to win ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Ipswich Town wins 0 Draws 1 Nottingham Forest wins 4
  1. 15 Mar 2025 Ipswich Town 2–4 Nottingham Forest
  2. 30 Nov 2024 Nottingham Forest 1–0 Ipswich Town
  3. 16 Mar 2019 Ipswich Town 1–1 Nottingham Forest
  4. 1 Dec 2018 Nottingham Forest 2–0 Ipswich Town
  5. 14 Apr 2018 Nottingham Forest 2–1 Ipswich Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.