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Match prediction · League One

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Meadow Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5

For this to come in, Sheffield Wednesday must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 79%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Notts County

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 0–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers or draw ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Oxford United Notts County Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Reading Either team to win ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✕

Sheffield Wednesday

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✕ 5–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 5–0 v AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 2–2 at Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✕
  3. D 0–0 v Stockport County Sheffield Wednesday Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Peterborough United Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Notts County wins 1 Draws 0 Sheffield Wednesday wins 3
  1. 17 Mar 2012 Notts County 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday
  2. 20 Aug 2011 Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Notts County
  3. 12 Mar 2011 Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Notts County
  4. 2 Oct 2010 Notts County 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.