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Match prediction · League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Reading

Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK time · Plough Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5

For this to come in, AFC Wimbledon must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

AFC Wimbledon

W0 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

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  1. L 0–3 at Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town win ✓

Reading

W0 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 3–4

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 3–4 v Luton Town Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

AFC Wimbledon wins 2 Draws 0 Reading wins 0
  1. 7 Feb 2026 AFC Wimbledon 3–2 Reading
  2. 16 Aug 2025 Reading 1–2 AFC Wimbledon

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.