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Match prediction · Premier League

Fulham vs Hull City

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Craven Cottage

Our call
Fulham win
Model confidence 72%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Fulham

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✕ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Ipswich Town Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Manchester United Fulham Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Liverpool Liverpool win ✕
  4. L 2–3 v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Sunderland Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓

Hull City

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✕ 1–0
  2. ✕ 0–0
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 1 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Everton Everton win ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Newcastle United Newcastle United win ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Chelsea Chelsea win ✕
  4. D 0–0 v Aston Villa Aston Villa win ✕
  5. W 1–0 at Coventry City Coventry City win ✕

Last meetings

Fulham wins 3 Draws 1 Hull City wins 1
  1. 12 Feb 2022 Hull City 0–1 Fulham
  2. 21 Aug 2021 Fulham 2–0 Hull City
  3. 11 Jan 2020 Hull City 0–1 Fulham
  4. 2 Nov 2019 Fulham 0–3 Hull City
  5. 30 Dec 2017 Hull City 2–2 Fulham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.